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Rugi lagiii!!
Tuesday, August 11, 2009
How 2 pick a good warrant ?
B4 i show u how 2 pick good warrant, i must oso show u my proven track records in warrants ( as per attached)
First , YTL-wb bot in year 2002 , cost 0.52 for 213 lots
sold all @ avg 1.60+ , Profit 200K+
Second Ijm-wb bot in year 2006 , cost 0.38 for 278 lots ,
sold all @ avg 1.20+- , Profit 220K +
Third , d latest one , YTLpwr-wb bot in 2008 , cost 0.49 for 100 lots.
sold all @ avg 0.76 , Profit 25K+
Total profit made from warrant = 450K+.. ^_^ how u like that ?
What is good warrant ?
3 criterias
1) Must be in money , what is in money warrant ? in money warrant is premium that u get after u minus out yr cost n conversion from its mom.
Example : Tgoff-wa
As at 8 May 09
Mom = 1.25
Tgoff-wa= 0.69
Conversion = 0.55
Hence, 0.69 + 0.55= 1.24
1.25 - 1.24 = 1cts , premium = 0.01/1.24 = 0.8%
Due 2 cost n time factor, any premium below 30% is still consider as in money warrant .what is premium 30% for Tgoff @1.25 ? d answer is 1.08 .
1.08 + 0.55 =1.63
1.63 - 1.25 /1.25 x 100%= premium 30%
In another word means d FV 4 tgoff-wa is 1.08 $$$$$$$
2) Future earning of its mom , take a look at my previous warrant purchase , all r bluechips , such as YTL n Ijm..d latest one is Tanjong offshore.. with its status of political link darling + orders in hand , I forsee its future earning shld be a good one.
3) Expiry date , expiry date must be at least 3 years n above , y ? simple.. cos u dun know what will happen 2molo , what if another 911 happen tonite ? once its mom dive from d sky, yr premium could gone with d wind oso, hence , longer expiry date is essential.
example:-
mom =1.00
son = 0.50
conversion 0.30
hence 1.00-0.50-0.30 = 0.20 premium ..this one i think u guys know it very well...
what about mom 1.00
som 1.00
conversion 0.30 ?
in money ?
yes is in money
cos 1.00 - ( 1.00 +.0.30)/ 1.00 x 100% = 30%
still in money.
if>>
Mom = 1.00
son 1.00
conversion 0.31
1.00- ) 1.00+0.31)/100%=31%
this is out of money !
anything below 30% is still consider as in money !
Tgoff-wa @0.69 for 50 lots..
conversion 0.55 , expiry date +2016
mom 1.25...very much in money
how 2 define a good warrant ?
1) in money
2) its expiry date must be more than 3 years n above
3) Mom 's future earning must be promising.
let look at tgoffwa , does it fall under d above ?
Tgoff = 1.25
1.25 -0.55= 0.70
Tgoff-wa =0.69... 1cts premium. (very much In money)
dun 4get .. 4 warrant , anything below 30% is still consider as in money...hence , theoritically...fv 4 tgoff-wa shld be traded at 0.91 now ^_^
expiry date 4 tgoffwa = 2016
Tgoff order in hand worth more than 2 bil + political link stock.
PE =9+-
See d gem ?
U can take this wa as long term hold as well as short term swing ^_^
From samgoss blogg
First , YTL-wb bot in year 2002 , cost 0.52 for 213 lots
sold all @ avg 1.60+ , Profit 200K+
Second Ijm-wb bot in year 2006 , cost 0.38 for 278 lots ,
sold all @ avg 1.20+- , Profit 220K +
Third , d latest one , YTLpwr-wb bot in 2008 , cost 0.49 for 100 lots.
sold all @ avg 0.76 , Profit 25K+
Total profit made from warrant = 450K+.. ^_^ how u like that ?
What is good warrant ?
3 criterias
1) Must be in money , what is in money warrant ? in money warrant is premium that u get after u minus out yr cost n conversion from its mom.
Example : Tgoff-wa
As at 8 May 09
Mom = 1.25
Tgoff-wa= 0.69
Conversion = 0.55
Hence, 0.69 + 0.55= 1.24
1.25 - 1.24 = 1cts , premium = 0.01/1.24 = 0.8%
Due 2 cost n time factor, any premium below 30% is still consider as in money warrant .what is premium 30% for Tgoff @1.25 ? d answer is 1.08 .
1.08 + 0.55 =1.63
1.63 - 1.25 /1.25 x 100%= premium 30%
In another word means d FV 4 tgoff-wa is 1.08 $$$$$$$
2) Future earning of its mom , take a look at my previous warrant purchase , all r bluechips , such as YTL n Ijm..d latest one is Tanjong offshore.. with its status of political link darling + orders in hand , I forsee its future earning shld be a good one.
3) Expiry date , expiry date must be at least 3 years n above , y ? simple.. cos u dun know what will happen 2molo , what if another 911 happen tonite ? once its mom dive from d sky, yr premium could gone with d wind oso, hence , longer expiry date is essential.
example:-
mom =1.00
son = 0.50
conversion 0.30
hence 1.00-0.50-0.30 = 0.20 premium ..this one i think u guys know it very well...
what about mom 1.00
som 1.00
conversion 0.30 ?
in money ?
yes is in money
cos 1.00 - ( 1.00 +.0.30)/ 1.00 x 100% = 30%
still in money.
if>>
Mom = 1.00
son 1.00
conversion 0.31
1.00- ) 1.00+0.31)/100%=31%
this is out of money !
anything below 30% is still consider as in money !
Tgoff-wa @0.69 for 50 lots..
conversion 0.55 , expiry date +2016
mom 1.25...very much in money
how 2 define a good warrant ?
1) in money
2) its expiry date must be more than 3 years n above
3) Mom 's future earning must be promising.
let look at tgoffwa , does it fall under d above ?
Tgoff = 1.25
1.25 -0.55= 0.70
Tgoff-wa =0.69... 1cts premium. (very much In money)
dun 4get .. 4 warrant , anything below 30% is still consider as in money...hence , theoritically...fv 4 tgoff-wa shld be traded at 0.91 now ^_^
expiry date 4 tgoffwa = 2016
Tgoff order in hand worth more than 2 bil + political link stock.
PE =9+-
See d gem ?
U can take this wa as long term hold as well as short term swing ^_^
From samgoss blogg
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