Tuesday, August 18, 2009
Thursday, August 13, 2009
Wednesday, August 12, 2009
Rugi lagiii!!
Total loss about RM 2001.82 vs Gain only.... RM805.26Must Learn from this or else stop playing in stock market.....
Start from today...... New way of tradingg........
Hopefully can recover all losess.....
Tuesday, August 11, 2009
How 2 pick a good warrant ?
B4 i show u how 2 pick good warrant, i must oso show u my proven track records in warrants ( as per attached)
First , YTL-wb bot in year 2002 , cost 0.52 for 213 lots
sold all @ avg 1.60+ , Profit 200K+
Second Ijm-wb bot in year 2006 , cost 0.38 for 278 lots ,
sold all @ avg 1.20+- , Profit 220K +
Third , d latest one , YTLpwr-wb bot in 2008 , cost 0.49 for 100 lots.
sold all @ avg 0.76 , Profit 25K+
Total profit made from warrant = 450K+.. ^_^ how u like that ?
What is good warrant ?
3 criterias
1) Must be in money , what is in money warrant ? in money warrant is premium that u get after u minus out yr cost n conversion from its mom.
Example : Tgoff-wa
As at 8 May 09
Mom = 1.25
Tgoff-wa= 0.69
Conversion = 0.55
Hence, 0.69 + 0.55= 1.24
1.25 - 1.24 = 1cts , premium = 0.01/1.24 = 0.8%
Due 2 cost n time factor, any premium below 30% is still consider as in money warrant .what is premium 30% for Tgoff @1.25 ? d answer is 1.08 .
1.08 + 0.55 =1.63
1.63 - 1.25 /1.25 x 100%= premium 30%
In another word means d FV 4 tgoff-wa is 1.08 $$$$$$$
2) Future earning of its mom , take a look at my previous warrant purchase , all r bluechips , such as YTL n Ijm..d latest one is Tanjong offshore.. with its status of political link darling + orders in hand , I forsee its future earning shld be a good one.
3) Expiry date , expiry date must be at least 3 years n above , y ? simple.. cos u dun know what will happen 2molo , what if another 911 happen tonite ? once its mom dive from d sky, yr premium could gone with d wind oso, hence , longer expiry date is essential.
example:-
mom =1.00
son = 0.50
conversion 0.30
hence 1.00-0.50-0.30 = 0.20 premium ..this one i think u guys know it very well...
what about mom 1.00
som 1.00
conversion 0.30 ?
in money ?
yes is in money
cos 1.00 - ( 1.00 +.0.30)/ 1.00 x 100% = 30%
still in money.
if>>
Mom = 1.00
son 1.00
conversion 0.31
1.00- ) 1.00+0.31)/100%=31%
this is out of money !
anything below 30% is still consider as in money !
Tgoff-wa @0.69 for 50 lots..
conversion 0.55 , expiry date +2016
mom 1.25...very much in money
how 2 define a good warrant ?
1) in money
2) its expiry date must be more than 3 years n above
3) Mom 's future earning must be promising.
let look at tgoffwa , does it fall under d above ?
Tgoff = 1.25
1.25 -0.55= 0.70
Tgoff-wa =0.69... 1cts premium. (very much In money)
dun 4get .. 4 warrant , anything below 30% is still consider as in money...hence , theoritically...fv 4 tgoff-wa shld be traded at 0.91 now ^_^
expiry date 4 tgoffwa = 2016
Tgoff order in hand worth more than 2 bil + political link stock.
PE =9+-
See d gem ?
U can take this wa as long term hold as well as short term swing ^_^
From samgoss blogg
First , YTL-wb bot in year 2002 , cost 0.52 for 213 lots
sold all @ avg 1.60+ , Profit 200K+
Second Ijm-wb bot in year 2006 , cost 0.38 for 278 lots ,
sold all @ avg 1.20+- , Profit 220K +
Third , d latest one , YTLpwr-wb bot in 2008 , cost 0.49 for 100 lots.
sold all @ avg 0.76 , Profit 25K+
Total profit made from warrant = 450K+.. ^_^ how u like that ?
What is good warrant ?
3 criterias
1) Must be in money , what is in money warrant ? in money warrant is premium that u get after u minus out yr cost n conversion from its mom.
Example : Tgoff-wa
As at 8 May 09
Mom = 1.25
Tgoff-wa= 0.69
Conversion = 0.55
Hence, 0.69 + 0.55= 1.24
1.25 - 1.24 = 1cts , premium = 0.01/1.24 = 0.8%
Due 2 cost n time factor, any premium below 30% is still consider as in money warrant .what is premium 30% for Tgoff @1.25 ? d answer is 1.08 .
1.08 + 0.55 =1.63
1.63 - 1.25 /1.25 x 100%= premium 30%
In another word means d FV 4 tgoff-wa is 1.08 $$$$$$$
2) Future earning of its mom , take a look at my previous warrant purchase , all r bluechips , such as YTL n Ijm..d latest one is Tanjong offshore.. with its status of political link darling + orders in hand , I forsee its future earning shld be a good one.
3) Expiry date , expiry date must be at least 3 years n above , y ? simple.. cos u dun know what will happen 2molo , what if another 911 happen tonite ? once its mom dive from d sky, yr premium could gone with d wind oso, hence , longer expiry date is essential.
example:-
mom =1.00
son = 0.50
conversion 0.30
hence 1.00-0.50-0.30 = 0.20 premium ..this one i think u guys know it very well...
what about mom 1.00
som 1.00
conversion 0.30 ?
in money ?
yes is in money
cos 1.00 - ( 1.00 +.0.30)/ 1.00 x 100% = 30%
still in money.
if>>
Mom = 1.00
son 1.00
conversion 0.31
1.00- ) 1.00+0.31)/100%=31%
this is out of money !
anything below 30% is still consider as in money !
Tgoff-wa @0.69 for 50 lots..
conversion 0.55 , expiry date +2016
mom 1.25...very much in money
how 2 define a good warrant ?
1) in money
2) its expiry date must be more than 3 years n above
3) Mom 's future earning must be promising.
let look at tgoffwa , does it fall under d above ?
Tgoff = 1.25
1.25 -0.55= 0.70
Tgoff-wa =0.69... 1cts premium. (very much In money)
dun 4get .. 4 warrant , anything below 30% is still consider as in money...hence , theoritically...fv 4 tgoff-wa shld be traded at 0.91 now ^_^
expiry date 4 tgoffwa = 2016
Tgoff order in hand worth more than 2 bil + political link stock.
PE =9+-
See d gem ?
U can take this wa as long term hold as well as short term swing ^_^
From samgoss blogg
"the worst mistake is not to learn from mistake"
"if you don't want to help yourself, no one can help u already"
The best time for a non-holder to buy that stock is when HOLDERS feel it is not good. They run out of patience waiting too long >>> Once they dispose it will move >>> Isn't THAT the oldest story in BURSA?
"if you don't want to help yourself, no one can help u already"
The best time for a non-holder to buy that stock is when HOLDERS feel it is not good. They run out of patience waiting too long >>> Once they dispose it will move >>> Isn't THAT the oldest story in BURSA?
Monday, August 10, 2009
Sunday, August 9, 2009
Kesilapan Lagi
Hari ini aku dengan tergesa-gesa telah menjual axiata-cc dengan harga 19 sen sahaja. Mengapa aku jual hari ni... Kalau dengan harga itu.. rasanya ramai orang akan beli.... kena hold lah dulu...skarang dah naik semula ke 20.5 sen.... aaaa rugi lagiii......
Yang Penting sekali.....
Plan Your Trade and Trade Your Plan
Yang Penting sekali.....
Plan Your Trade and Trade Your Plan
Saturday, August 8, 2009
Kesilapan besar telah berlaku semasa membeli axiata-cc di mana telah ramai pelabur membeli di bawah paras 20 sen dan saya telah membeli dengan harga tertinggi hari itu iaitu 20 sen... Diharap dapat menjual 20 sen keatas pada hari esok memandangkan Index perusahaan Dow Jones telah naik 100 mata lebih.... Diharapkan juga kesilapan seperti ini tidak akan berlaku lagi............
Sebelum membuat keputusan untuk membeli, trade plan perlulah disediakan terlebih dahulu........
Sebelum membuat keputusan untuk membeli, trade plan perlulah disediakan terlebih dahulu........
Friday, August 7, 2009
Plan Your Trade and Trade Your Plan
After the recent market fall traders will take time to evaluate their success or failure. The answers help to develop quality experience. There are five features.
*Creating quality experience starts with a Trading Plan. Start by specializing in one or two strategies. There are many different strategies in the market. Many of them are successful, but you must select the strategy that you feel most comfortable with. This strategy will suit your personality so it is easy to apply effectively.
*Keep a Trading diary. This is a record of every trade. The notes include the reasons for the trade. It includes the trade plan. It includes the trade development and also the reason for the exit. These are brief notes. They help you to find the common features of success and the common features of failure. It is a record of how your experience is developing
*At the end of each trading day print the chart of every trade. Make notes about the trade. This improves your learning experience because it teaches you to recognize price and market patterns. It reminds you of what happens when the patterns are successful , or when the patterns fail.
*At the end of every three months evaluate the information you have collected. This will help you recognize your strong and weak points. Are you more successful with momentum trades or trend trades? Is your entry point effective? Is the stop loss method effective? Do you wait too long to exit a losing trade? The answers will help you develop the quality experience necessary to become a better trader.
*If you find common and repeated mistakes, then you may need to make changes to your trading plan. First check to make sure all your trades follow your trading plan. If you have many trades which do not exactly follow your plan then go back to step one and develop the discipline to trade your exact trading plan.. If you consistently and exactly follow the correct trading plan then you will develop the quality experience necessary for successful trading.
PLAN YOUR TRADE AND TRADE YOUR PLAN
Thursday, August 6, 2009
Subscribe to:
Comments (Atom)
